Winning Sports Picks
Sean Murphy |
||
---|---|---|
Sean has been handicapping professionally since 2003 and at SportsCapping since 2016. Check out his track record for yourself and see why so many clients are putting his 20+ years of experience to work for them! |
FREE PICKS | ||
---|---|---|
Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | May 08, 2024 Bruins vs. Panthers |
Panthers -171 at CIRCA |
in 1h |
Wednesday NHL Free play. My selection is on Florida over Boston at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. The Bruins took the opener of this series in stunning fashion, scoring five unanswered goals in a game that broke wide open late in the second period. Here, we'll call for the Panthers to bounce back as they look to even the series at a game apiece before heading to Boston for Game 3. Note that the Bruins are a long-term 34-39 (-19.6 net games) when leading a playoff series including a 2-6 (-8.4 net games) record in that situation over the last three seasons. They're also just 1-6 (-9.8 net games) after winning their previous contest by four goals or more this season, as is the case here. Meanwhile, Florida is a long-term 17-11 (+13.2 net games) when seeking revenge for a home loss by four goals or more against an opponent including a 3-1 (+2.8 net games) mark in that spot over the last three seasons. Take Florida. |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
---|---|---|
Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | May 07, 2024 Hurricanes vs Rangers |
Rangers +110 at SC Consensus |
Won $110 |
Play Type: Free | ||
Tuesday NHL Free play. My selection is on New York over Carolina at 7 pm et on Tuesday. This is traditionally around the time when the Hurricanes begin to disappoint and if Game 1 was any indication, this series may go precisely as planned. That's not to say it was a cakewalk for the Rangers. They ultimately had to hold off a late-charging Canes squad in a 4-3 victory. It is worth noting that the Blueshirts have been an excellent 'positive momentum' team over the years. They check in 105-64 (+19.8 net games) when coming off a win over the last three seasons including a 39-19 (+9.2 net games) record in that situation this season. They're also 41-22 (+15.8 net games) when coming off a victory over a division opponent over the last three seasons including a 14-7 (+6.8 net games) in that spot this season. This could very well turn out to be a long series but I think the Canes are going to need to make the most of Games 3 and 4 in Raleigh, keeping in mind they're -5.4 net games in their last 49 contests when seeking revenge for a one-goal loss against an opponent. Take New York. |
||
Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | May 07, 2024 Mavs vs Thunder |
Thunder -3½ -110 at circa |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Free | ||
Tuesday NBA Free play. My selection is on Oklahoma City minus the points over Dallas at 9:30 pm et on Tuesday. The Mavericks have traditionally been slow starters in playoff series' noting they've gone 14-19 ATS in their last 33 Game 1's including a 1-3 ATS mark over the last three seasons and an 0-1 ATS record this season. They've also just 47-54 ATS in their last 101 contests as an underdog including a 13-14 ATS mark this season. Meanwhile, the Thunder check in 37-22 ATS in their last 59 games as a home favorite including a 23-13 ATS record this season. Oklahoma City is also 31-23 ATS in its last 54 contests following three straight ATS victories, as is the case here, including a 9-7 ATS mark in that situation this season. The home team has gone 5-1 SU in the last six meetings in this series and it's worth noting that the SU winner has gone a perfect 19-0 ATS in the Mavs last 19 contests. I look for the Thunder to hold serve at home on Tuesday. Take Oklahoma City. |
||
Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | May 07, 2024 Cavs vs Celtics |
UNDER 209 -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Boston at 7 pm et on Tuesday. The Celtics have quietly played at a slower pace over the last month or so, hoisting up fewer than 90 field goal attempts in 11 of their last 14 games including 86 or less in all five contests against the Heat last round. Cleveland saved face offensively by shooting exceptionally well over the final four games against Orlando last round, hiding an offense that looked lost at times and played at a snail's pace for the most part. Note that the 'under' is 41-28 in the Cavaliers last 69 games as a road underdog including a 14-9 record in that situation this season. The 'under' is also a long-term 93-75 in Cleveland's last 168 playoff games including an 11-3 mark over the last three seasons. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 43-33 in the Celtics last 76 contests as a home favorite of between 6.5 and 12.0 points including a 15-10 record this season. The 'under' is also 76-70 in Boston's last 146 games following an 'over' result, as is the case here, including a 25-20 mark in that situation this season. Take the under (8*). |
||
Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 07, 2024 Orioles vs Nationals |
UNDER 8½ -115 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
Interleague Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Baltimore and Washington at 6:45 pm et on Tuesday. Both of these teams exploded offensively in their most recent game on Sunday but I look for a different story to unfold as they open a brief two-game series at Nationals Park on Tuesday. Baltimore will hand the ball to Corbin Burnes. He's had little trouble adjusting to life with a new team, recording a 3.71 FIP and 0.92 WHIP in seven starts this season. Current Nationals hitters have gone just 10-for-44 off of Burnes with four extra-base hits. Behind Burnes is a rested Orioles bullpen that enters this series sporting a collective 3.54 ERA and 1.12 WHIP this season. Veteran right-hander Trevor Williams has more than held his own for the Nationals so far this season, posting a 2.90 FIP and 1.17 WHIP through his first six starts. Williams is by no means flashy and isn't going to blow anyone away with his stuff but I am confident he can keep his solid start going even in the face of this difficult matchup. Note that the Orioles entered last night's action ranked best in baseball in day game OPS this season but are just a middling 14th in night game OPS. The Nationals bullpen has been serviceable this season with a 3.81 ERA and 1.41 WHIP, converting 11 saves while blowing six. One final note, the Nats are 23rd in the majors in OPS over the last seven days (entering last night's action) and 22nd in home OPS this season. Take the under (10*). |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
---|---|---|
Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 08, 2024 Marlins vs Dodgers |
UNDER 9 -115 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Los Angeles at 3:10 pm et on Wednesday. We've seen a couple of fairly high-scoring games with the Dodgers offense leading the way in the first two games in this series. In Wednesday's matinee affair at Dodger Stadium, I'm expecting runs to come at a premium, however. Ryan Weathers will take the ball for Miami. Interestingly, he has held current Dodgers hitters to a combined 6-for-44 at the plate with just two extra-base hits. It's worth noting that Los Angeles has been worse than its season average in terms of OPS in both day games and against left-handed pitching this season. The Marlins will be seeing Dodgers starter Gavin Stone for the first time. Note that Miami checks in 29th in the majors in away OPS this season. The Marlins also rank a disappointing 24th in OPS vs. right-handed pitching. Both bullpens have held up reasonably well lately and neither has seen its key arms get overworked in this series due to the lopsided nature of the previous two contests. Take the under (8*). |
SERVICE BIO |
---|
Sean Murphy made his professional debut as lead handicapper for Pat Miller Sports in 2003, continuing on with The Miller Group from 2006 through 2009. Sean broke away to found his own sports service in September 2009 and has now delivered 12 of 17 winning NFL seasons. Sean’s also cashed big in NCAA Football, as he’s won each of the last 3 seasons, recording wins with 57% of his overall bets. A key factor in Sean’s success is his knack for Over/Unders, which is no surprise given Sean’s reputation as a ‘numbers guru.’ Indeed, Sean’s knack for handling numbers is deep-rooted. He owns a business degree, with a major in finance, and is a member of the prestigious Beta Gamma Sigma honor society for business students and scholars. Although Sean took a circuitous route to become a professional handicapper, sports betting has been a part of his life for as long as he can remember. In fact, he still fondly recalls his first successful venture into sports betting – a winning three-game NFL ‘Pro-Line’ parlay (offered by the Canadian lottery) when he was just 12 years old. Sean — along with the rest of his 7th grade class — was hooked. His passion for sports is unmatched. The phrase “find something you love to do and you’ll never ‘work’ a day in your life” is Murph's mantra. Sean's love for numbers, combined with his passion for sports, makes a career in sports handicapping the perfect fit. After building The Miller Group from the ground up, and turning it into one of America’s most respected handicapping services, Sean has continued to prosper as an independent, thanks to an honest approach and strong belief in delivering value to the customer. Sean’s selections are based on his extensive knowledge of the game, and his approach is both situational and statistical. He prides himself on going against the majority and thinking outside the box, and his unique analysis keeps his clients coming back. When you purchase one of Sean’s selections, you can always count on insightful and expert information to back it up. Sean rates all of his plays from 8* to 10* with free plays qualifying as 8* releases, and the majority of his selections warranting a 10* designation. As you would expect, the higher the rating, the stronger the play. |